Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1922 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1921 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1922 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |