Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SMP
4 - 4
URU
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1922 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1922 |
PAR
0 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |