Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1919 |
URU
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1919 |
URU
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |