Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |