Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1917 |
URU
3 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |