Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1917 |
ROS
0 - 1
URU
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1916 |
URU
3 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
ARG
7 - 2
URU
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1916 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1916 |
URU
3 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
ARG
7 - 2
URU
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1916 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |