Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
ARG
7 - 2
URU
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1916 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1916 |
URU
4 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
ARG
7 - 2
URU
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1916 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |