Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1915 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1915 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |