Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1913 |
URU
5 - 0
ROS
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1913 |
URU
2 - 1
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1913 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |