Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1912 |
URU
1 - 3
ARG
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1912 |
ROS
0 - 4
URU
4%
12%
84%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
59%
20%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1912 |
SCO
1 - 5
URU
3%
13%
84%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1912 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1912 |
URU
1 - 3
ARG
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
59%
20%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1912 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1912 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1912 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |