Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1910 |
ROS
2 - 2
URU
5%
16%
79%
|
67 | 11 | 56 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1910 |
ALU
1 - 3
URU
5%
17%
78%
|
67 | 11 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1909 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1909 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1909 |
URU
1 - 2
EVE
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1910 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1909 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1909 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1908 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1908 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |