Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1906 |
URU
1 - 6
RSA
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1905 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1904 |
URU
1 - 8
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1904 |
URU
0 - 1
ALU
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1903 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1905 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1903 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1902 |
URU
0 - 6
ARG
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |