Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points