Uruguay vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1928 |
NED
0 - 2
URU
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
URU
9 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1928 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
46%
22%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
GER
6 - 2
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |