Uruguay vs HMS Antrim Navy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.5%
Win probability
4.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
3.3%
7-0
5.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
6.3%
6-0
8.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.4%
5-0
11.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
15%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
3.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
3.1%
0.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1908 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1908 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1908 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1907 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1907 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |