Uruguay vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
URU
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GTM
1 - 4
ARG
8%
19%
73%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VGB
0 - 3
GTM
6%
13%
82%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GTM
6 - 0
DMA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |