Uruguay vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1909 |
URU
0 - 8
TOT
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1908 |
URU
3 - 1
ANT
96%
3%
1%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1908 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1908 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1908 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
EVE
4 - 2
LEI
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
SHW
2 - 0
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
EVE
5 - 0
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |