WC Play Offs Final
Global 2-1
Uruguay vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 1
URU
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
29%
26%
44%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
36%
27%
37%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
URU
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
28%
27%
46%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 1
URU
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
USA
2 - 2
CRC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CRC
4 - 0
TTO
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 0
CRC
24%
25%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 3
MEX
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |