Uruguay vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 3
BRA
5%
14%
81%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
40%
26%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
KSA
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
CHI
3 - 0
CRC
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
4 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 2
HND
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |