Uruguay vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FRA
2 - 0
URU
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
JPN
1 - 4
URU
29%
30%
41%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
31%
31%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 0
PAR
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
GHA
1 - 2
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1985 |
USA
1 - 1
CAN
63%
19%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1985 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CRC
0 - 0
CAN
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |