USSR vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
4 - 0
VEN
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
DDR
2 - 2
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRD
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
CUB
1 - 0
ZAM
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
5 - 0
KEN
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
MWI
2 - 0
ZAM
54%
20%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ETH
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |