USSR vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 3
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SUN
6 - 0
DEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 1
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SUN
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
AUT
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1965 |
NOR
3 - 0
YUG
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
ENG
46%
21%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
34%
24%
43%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |