USSR vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
0 - 3
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
1 - 4
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 3
CSK
51%
26%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 2
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
SWE
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SWE
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |