USSR vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
URU
60%
19%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
4 - 4
COL
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 0
YUG
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
38%
21%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1963 |
HUN
4 - 0
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1962 |
THA
1 - 2
SWE
25%
22%
53%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1962 |
ISR
0 - 4
SWE
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |