EC Qualifying Etapas finales Semi-finals
Global 4-2
USSR vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1964 |
SUN
1 - 0
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
SUN
2 - 0
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1964 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NED
0 - 1
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
41%
22%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
38%
22%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |