USSR vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
79.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 5
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
16%
18%
65%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1952 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 2
ISL
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 10
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 1
NED
84%
9%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |