USSR vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
FIN
1 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
44%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
HUN
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
POL
3 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
DDR
1 - 0
ROU
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 1
ROU
6%
20%
75%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |