USSR vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 0
SUN
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
4 - 0
DEN
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
FIN
1 - 1
ROU
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ROU
1 - 1
AUT
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
ROU
3 - 3
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |