USSR vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
2 - 1
KWT
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
8 - 0
CUB
84%
10%
5%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
3 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
4 - 0
VEN
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
4 - 0
IRQ
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
5 - 0
SYR
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
1 - 0
ALG
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
1 - 1
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
DDR
2 - 2
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |