USSR vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 1
IRN
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
30%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
AUT
1 - 2
SUN
45%
28%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
HUN
1 - 1
SUN
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
4 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
0 - 0
DDR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1976 |
DDR
5 - 0
ALG
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
DDR
0 - 0
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |