USSR vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
9.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1962 |
SUN
5 - 0
URU
43%
22%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
SWE
0 - 2
SUN
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1961 |
URU
1 - 2
SUN
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 0
DDR
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 71 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
POL
3 - 1
DDR
84%
9%
7%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
DDR
2 - 3
HUN
14%
18%
69%
|
34 | 92 | 58 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | +1 |