USSR vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
CSK
1 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
32%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
32%
30%
39%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 4
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
GRC
0 - 4
SUN
21%
29%
50%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
ITA
4 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
24%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
IRL
3 - 1
POL
40%
28%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1988 |
DEN
3 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
POL
1 - 1
DEU
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
POL
1 - 0
ROU
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NIR
1 - 1
POL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |