USSR vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1977 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
HUN
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
HUN
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
15%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
AUT
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1977 |
PER
1 - 3
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |