USSR vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
81%
11%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
4 - 1
MEX
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 1
SDN
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
MMR
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
SWE
4 - 4
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
DEN
1 - 1
POL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
DDR
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
POL
4 - 0
GHA
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
POL
5 - 1
COL
83%
11%
7%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1972 |
POL
0 - 0
SUI
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |