USSR vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
32%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
HUN
1 - 2
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 1
FIN
57%
20%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
BGR
0 - 4
SUN
75%
14%
12%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
POL
4 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1957 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |