USSR vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
10%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
27%
29%
45%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 2
SUN
21%
27%
52%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
SCO
5 - 2
NZL
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 1
NZL
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 0
NZL
25%
22%
54%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |