USSR vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1967 |
SCO
0 - 2
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUN
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SUN
0 - 2
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
YUG
1 - 2
SUN
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1967 |
MEX
3 - 0
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
URU
0 - 0
MEX
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
87%
9%
5%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |