USSR vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1988 |
ENG
1 - 3
SUN
61%
21%
19%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
1 - 1
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
NED
0 - 1
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
SUN
2 - 1
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
CSK
1 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
32%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
2 - 0
DEN
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
65%
19%
15%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
0 - 1
WAL
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
ISL
0 - 3
ITA
20%
31%
49%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |