USSR vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
12%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AUT
0 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
6 - 1
BGR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |