USSR vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
SUN
5 - 0
IND
86%
10%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
NED
0 - 0
SUN
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
1 - 0
SCO
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
6 - 1
CYP
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
4 - 0
NED
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1971 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1971 |
NIR
0 - 1
ENG
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
NIR
5 - 0
CYP
60%
19%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
CYP
0 - 3
NIR
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |