USSR vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
30%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
AUT
1 - 2
SUN
45%
28%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
HUN
1 - 1
SUN
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 2
CSK
55%
26%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1976 |
POL
3 - 2
IRN
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1976 |
IRN
1 - 0
CUB
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 2
ROU
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
1 - 0
KWT
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 0
CHN
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |