USSR vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 1
ENG
23%
21%
57%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
HUN
1 - 2
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 1
ENG
23%
21%
57%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
YUG
5 - 0
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
SCO
0 - 4
ENG
28%
22%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |