USSR vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
HUN
1 - 2
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 1
FIN
57%
20%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
YUG
5 - 0
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
SCO
0 - 4
ENG
28%
22%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 3
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | -1 |