USSR vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
ROU
2 - 1
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 1
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 0
SUN
36%
29%
35%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HUN
3 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
32%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
QAT
0 - 3
HUN
8%
19%
74%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 0
HUN
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
HUN
3 - 1
ALG
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
HUN
1 - 0
KOR
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |