USSR vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
BGR
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
BRA
72%
15%
13%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
HUN
39%
23%
39%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
91%
7%
3%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |