USSR vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1963 |
FIN
0 - 4
SUN
32%
22%
47%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1963 |
SUN
7 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWE
39%
23%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
URU
60%
19%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
CSK
2 - 2
HUN
28%
21%
50%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
HUN
6 - 0
DEN
87%
8%
4%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
38%
21%
41%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1963 |
HUN
4 - 0
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
WAL
1 - 1
HUN
14%
18%
68%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |