USSR vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1952 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 76 | 66 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
15%
22%
64%
|
7 | 75 | 68 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 2
SUN
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1952 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
HUN
5 - 0
DDR
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 7 | 79 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
HUN
8 - 0
FIN
92%
5%
3%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
CSK
1 - 2
HUN
45%
20%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
HUN
6 - 0
POL
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |