USSR vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
SUN
2 - 0
CSK
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
TUR
0 - 3
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
SUN
4 - 0
TUR
85%
12%
3%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUN
27%
28%
45%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1980 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
52%
26%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUN
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |