USSR vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
SUN
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
AUT
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ALG
2 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1965 |
ITA
4 - 1
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
0 - 5
WAL
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
WAL
4 - 1
GRC
57%
19%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
GRC
2 - 0
WAL
45%
21%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |