USSR vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 0
YUG
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
DDR
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1962 |
SUN
5 - 0
URU
43%
22%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
SWE
0 - 2
SUN
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1962 |
URU
2 - 1
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
30%
21%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
COL
2 - 0
USA
52%
19%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |